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UK firms expect barely any growth the next 3 months, gloomiest outlook since February 2021

Via Reuters comes a report on the latest Confederation of British Industry surveys of manufacturers, retailers and other services industries (survey of 549 firms between April 26 and May 13).

  • expectations element fell to +1%, indicating a 1 percentage point difference between the proportion of firms expecting growth rather than contraction
  • A majority of consumer services companies expect sales to fall over the next three months

CBI economist Alpesh Paleja:

  • “It’s worrying that expectations for private-sector activity have worsened, but unsurprising given that headwinds continue to intensify,”
  • “Amid a worsening economic outlook, the government must work with business on a genuine plan for increasing business investment and get growth going again, particularly as costs continue to soar,”

Slowing economy, strong inflation pressures. There is plenty of pressure on the BoE,

Earlier post on the situation in New Zealand, I wondered aloud if its a leading indicator for elsewhere: