Citi expect EURUSD to trade in a range of 1.07-1.12 (previously expected rise to 1.15) | Forexlive

CitiFx on EUR/USD, this comes via the folks at Trading View (may be gated)

In summary:

• expects EURUSD to trade in a range of 1.07-1.12, having previously argued for EURUSD rising closer to 1.15 last November

Citing:

• considers the ECB underpriced
• sees further euro zone terms-of-trade improvement due to natural gas price declines
• not enough to offset China growth concerns – April data the most recent disappointment, specifically the contraction y/y in imports …. this has increased the risk that euro zone exports to China will either stall or rise at a very slow pace

Citi says it’ll get more enthusiastic on EUR (to 1.15) if “US-RoW (rest of the world) growth expectations differential resumes declining, potentially due to China firing up stimulus”