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Morgan Stanley on stocks, say excitement, buying happening at an “inopportune” time | Forexlive

Morgan Stanley analysts have been sternly disapproving of the bull move for stocks for, well, it seems like forever.

And still are. From a Tuesday note:

  • “Investor sentiment and positioning has turned 180 degrees at an
    inopportune time, in our view”

MS cite concerns that contribute to their “2H23 caution” as:

  • fading fiscal support
  • less liquidity
  • the impact of
    inflation falling faster than expected … “We see risk
    that lower prices translate to falling revenue growth over the next 4
    months. Declining import/export prices are telling us the same
    thing”

And, also:

  • “We find it
    hard to get on board with the current excitement and narrative
    supporting it. While breadth has stabilized, it remains far from
    supportive of higher prices”

MS do seem rusted on to the bear view. they do make some valid points. But stocks have shrugged these off this year.

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Differing view from Goldman Sachs here: