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Oxford Economics says a US recession is likely, S&P 500 unlikely to climb above 2022 high | Forexlive

Oxfor Economics on the US economy and benchmark index S&P500, in brief:

  • US recession still looks likely
  • the Fed’s chances of creating a soft landing for the U.S. economy is fuelling bullish sentiment
  • see an economic slowdown starting later this year, this will stop the S&P 500 from returning to its 2022 record high
  • US recession could see the S&P 500 fall “back to test the 50% retracement of the rally since last October, which is currently just below 4,000”

The index has shrugged off all the bearishness so far this year