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Australian final manufacturing PMI for October: 48.2 (prior 48.7) | Forexlive

Flash Judo Bank / S&P Global October PMI reading is here:

Warren Hogan, Chief Economic Advisor at Judo Bank commentary from the report, in summary:

  • The slight decline in the PMI
    index to 48.2 masks a more profound fall in the key output and
    new orders indexes.
  • The output and new orders indexes fell to concerning levels in
    October, lower than what would normally be associated with
    a soft patch.
  • The employment index fell to the lowest level since the 2020
    lockdowns, although the index level remains above the 50
    index level.
  • The solid employment result also cautions against reading
    too much into the falls in output and new orders in October.
  • Cost pressures increased further in October, with the input
    price index rising to the highest level since March. There
    has been a clear upward trend for costs since the June low
    point, which is indicative of an intensification of business cost
    pressures in the current financial year.
  • Contrary to rising input prices, there has been another fall
    in the output price index. Output prices remain above the
    neutral 50 level, indicative of low inflation of manufactured
    goods. Output prices are now back down to what would be
    considered normal prior to the pandemic.
  • Rising cost pressures and low final price inflation do not bode
    well for manufacturers’ margins and profitability. If margin
    pressures are sustained, businesses will eventually need to pull
    back on investment and hiring to protect profitability.

IMO there is not a lot positive in this report. Its not overly concerning, but it doesn’t inspire confidence. I’m expecting an RBA rate hike next week, the meeting is November 7, which will be another challenge for this sector.