Canadian Dollar sheds weight against Greenback on Wednesday after BoC rate cut
- Canadian Dollar loses minor ground against Greenback after BoC rate cut.
- Canada delivers broadly expected rate trim, but BoC sticks to per meeting outlook.
- Markets set to pivot to Friday’s US NFP and Canadian labor figures.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) backslid against the US Dollar (USD) during Wednesday’s US market session, briefly sending USD/CAD to a near-term high of 1.3740 before markets faded the move back to the 1.3700 handle. The Bank of Canada (BoC) delivered a broadly expected quarter-point rate cut, but US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures in June unexpectedly rose to a nine-month high.
Canada has notched a first rate cut from the BoC on Wednesday, and CAD traders will pivot to focus on Friday’s upcoming Canadian labor figures. However, another US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) jobs print will likely overshadow Canadian employment data in that session.
Daily digest market movers: BoC moves on rates, meets market expectations
- BoC cut its main reference rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% from 5.0%.
- During the BoC’s Monetary Policy Statement, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem noted that the BoC’s policy decisions on future rate cuts will be considered one meeting at a time.
- US ISM Services PMI rebounds to nine-month high of 53.8 in May, above forecast of 50.8 and recovering from April’s 16-month low of 49.4.
- US ADP Employment Change in May came in lower than expected, printing at 152K in May and missing the 173K forecast. The previous month was also revised slightly lower to 188K from 192K.
- Interest rate market bets of a November Federal Reserve rate cut have risen to 80%.
- BoC’s Macklem: Confidence on inflation returning to 2.0% remains in place
- Macklem speech: It is looking like a soft landing for the economy
Canadian Dollar PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.12% | -0.07% | 0.80% | 0.19% | 0.09% | -0.14% | 0.43% | |
| EUR | -0.12% | -0.19% | 0.68% | 0.07% | -0.02% | -0.24% | 0.27% | |
| GBP | 0.07% | 0.19% | 0.86% | 0.27% | 0.17% | -0.05% | 0.48% | |
| JPY | -0.80% | -0.68% | -0.86% | -0.61% | -0.71% | -0.95% | -0.41% | |
| CAD | -0.19% | -0.07% | -0.27% | 0.61% | -0.09% | -0.31% | 0.21% | |
| AUD | -0.09% | 0.02% | -0.17% | 0.71% | 0.09% | -0.23% | 0.31% | |
| NZD | 0.14% | 0.24% | 0.05% | 0.95% | 0.31% | 0.23% | 0.54% | |
| CHF | -0.43% | -0.27% | -0.48% | 0.41% | -0.21% | -0.31% | -0.54% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).
Technical analysis: Canadian Dollar edges lower on Wednesday as Greenback gains
The Canadian Dollar is mixed on Wednesday, rising nearly half a percent against the Japanese Yen but falling around a quarter of a percent against the US Dollar. The CAD’s backslide sparked a brief rise in the pair to 1.3740 before cooler heads prevailed and pushed the pair back toward the 1.37000.
Daily candlesticks reveal the pair mired in near-term congestion with bids waffling close to the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3649. 2024’s high currently sits at 1.3846, while overall USD/CAD remains up around 3.5% for the year.
USD/CAD hourly chart
USD/CAD daily chart
Economic Indicator
BoC Interest Rate Decision
The Bank of Canada (BoC) announces its interest rate decision at the end of its eight scheduled meetings per year. If the BoC believes inflation will be above target (hawkish), it will raise interest rates in order to bring it down. This is bullish for the CAD since higher interest rates attract greater inflows of foreign capital. Likewise, if the BoC sees inflation falling below target (dovish) it will lower interest rates in order to give the Canadian economy a boost in the hope inflation will rise back up. This is bearish for CAD since it detracts from foreign capital flowing into the country.
Last release: Wed Jun 05, 2024 13:45
Frequency: Irregular
Actual: 4.75%
Consensus: 4.75%
Previous: 5%
Source: Bank of Canada