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ADP August employment +99K vs +145K expected | Forexlive

This is the lowest reading since January 2021, albeit barely.

  • Prior was +122K (revised to +111K)
  • Annual pay growth for job-stayers 4.8% vs 4.8% prior
  • Job-changers’ pay gains 7.3% vs 7.2% prior
  • Service-providing sector added 72K jobs, goods-producing sector up 27K
  • Construction (+27K) and education/health services (+29K) led gains
  • Professional/business services saw largest decline (-16K)

The evidence is beginning to mount that the US jobs market is cooling. Here’s a reminder of what Powell said at Jackson Hole.

“The job market’s downward drift brought us to slower-than-normal hiring after two years of outsized
growth,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “The next indicator to watch is wage growth, which
is stabilizing after a dramatic post-pandemic slowdown.”