US Employment trends for May 107.49 versus 108.00 last month | Forexlive
- Prior month 107.57 was revised higher to 108.00.
Looking at the data, the move lower takes the index to the lowest level since May 2021 (when it was at 107.40).
According to the Conference Board:
ETI is composed of 8 indicators:
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Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance
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Percentage of Respondents Who Say Jobs Are Hard to Get
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Number of Employees Hired by the Temporary-Help Industry
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Part-Time Workers for Economic Reasons (Involuntary)
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Job Openings
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Industrial Production
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Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales
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Ratio of Involuntary Part-Time to All Part-Time Workers
Components dragging the index lower in May:
Despite those weaknesses, the overall labor market remains resilient, with high employment and strong wage growth helping cushion against emerging tariff-related headwinds
On Friday the US employment data painted a mixed yet generally stable picture for labor market conditions:
Headline data showed an increase of 139,000 nonfarm payrolls, slightly exceeding consensus forecasts and marking a modest cooling from earlier readings—Tuesday’s March and April gains were revised down by a total of 95,000 jobs. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, but this reflected a drop in labor force participation, with 625,000 individuals exiting the workforce.
Sector dynamics revealed that job creation was concentrated in health care (+62K), leisure & hospitality (+48K), and social assistance (+16K), while federal government jobs declined sharply (–22K) and industries such as manufacturing and temporary help showed little change . Meanwhile, average hourly earnings rose 0.4% m/m, translating to a 3.9% year-over-year gain, underscoring continued wage strength
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