UBS expects the ECB to cut its key policy rates in July | Forexlive

However, the firm adds a caveat in saying that “if there is a benign outcome in US-EU trade talks, we will abandon our forecast of a July cut”.

Regardless, it’s still an interesting call. That especially after the ECB has sent quite a clear message on pausing through the summer at least. As things stand, markets are pricing in a ~90% probability of the ECB keeping rates unchanged for the 24 July policy decision.

Later this year,
ForexLive.com
is evolving into
investingLive.com, a new destination for intelligent market updates and smarter
decision-making for investors and traders alike.