Gold hits record high, heads for best month in 14 years on safe-haven rush
Synopsis
Gold prices reached a record high. A potential US government shutdown created uncertainty for Federal Reserve policy. This situation increased investor demand for safe assets. Gold gained this year. Central bank purchases and expected interest rate cuts support the rise. Gold producers also changed leaders. The market expects the rally to continue.

US Treasuries also gained on Monday, partly supported by worries over a potential shutdown.
FUNDAMENTALS
- Spot gold was up 0.2% at $3,842.76 per ounce, as of 0123 GMT. Bullion has risen 11.4% so far in September, on track for its best month since August 2011.
- U.S. gold futures for December delivery gained 0.4% to $3,872.
- U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents appeared to make little progress at a White House meeting aimed at heading off a government shutdown that could disrupt a wide range of services as soon as Wednesday.
- Recent economic data has lifted expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, with traders pricing in a roughly 89% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction at the next Fed meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
- St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said he was open to further rate cuts but the Fed must be cautious and keep rates high enough to continue to lean against inflation.
- Gold, often used as a safe store of value during times of political and financial uncertainty, thrives in a low interest rate environment.
- Investors now await U.S. data on job openings, private payrolls, the ISM manufacturing PMI and Friday’s non-farm payrolls report for further clues on the economy’s health.
- The U.S. Labor Department confirmed on Monday that its statistics agency would suspend economic data releases, including the closely-watched monthly employment report for September, in the event of a partial government shutdown.
- SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.60% to 1,011.73 metric tons on Monday from 1,005.72 tons on Friday.
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