Eyes on the House today as Republicans aim to pass budget bill | Forexlive

We’re into the end game for Trump’s “Big, Beautiful Bill” after the Senate voted to pass it yesterday. Now it’s back into the House and the aim from Republican leaders is to get it passed before July 4.

I think the market has largely priced in a passage, at least of the corporate tax proposals. There are critical things here for healthcare companies and others that benefit from government largess but I don’t see many macro risks that aren’t already priced in. Of course, one day the costs will hit intolerable levels and there will have to be some real austerity.

US 10-year yields are up 4.9 bps to 4.30% and are well-within recent ranges.

It’s obvious to me that AI will be crippling for government finances as unemployment rises and demands for government help rise. That will then spiral back towards the AI winners — corporations — who will be asked to pay more via taxes.