Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis | Forexlive
Last
Friday, the Nasdaq Composite pulled back a bit after the incredibly strong
Nvidia induced rally as we probably saw some profit taking. On the economic
data side, we got another slate of strong data last Thursday with the US
Jobless Claims and US PMIs beating
expectations. The Fed members continue to repeat that they want to see a couple
more of inflation reports before deciding on rate cuts, but they keep on
reiterating that cuts are coming this year. Overall, the path of least
resistance remains to the upside.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, we can see that the Nasdaq
Composite pulled back a bit after coming very close to the all-time high. From
a risk management perspective, the buyers will have a much better risk to
reward setup around the trendline where we
can also find the red 21 moving average for confluence. The
sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to
invalidate the bullish setup and position for a drop into the 15150 support.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe
On the 4 hour chart, we can see that
the price has been diverging with
the MACD for a
long time. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by
pullbacks or reversals. In this case, we got pullbacks into the bottom
trendline where the price kept on bouncing from as the buyers continued to pile
in. We can also notice that we might have formed a rising wedge right
at the all-time high. It will be important for the buyers to break out into new
highs as a break lower could trigger a selloff into the base of the wedge at
14477.
Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe
On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have
a support zone around the 15900 level where we can also find the 38.2%
Fibonacci retracement level for confluence. This is where we can expect the
buyers to pile in with a defined risk below the trendline to target a new
all-time high. The sellers, on the other hand, can only wait for a break below
the trendline to position for a bigger drop into the 14477 level.
Upcoming
Events
This week we have some important economic data on the
agenda. We begin tomorrow with the release of the US Consumer Confidence
report. On Thursday, we will see the US PCE and the latest US Jobless Claims
figures. Finally, on Friday, we conclude the week with the US ISM Manufacturing
PMI.